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ARS CONJECTANDI
A celebration of 300 years of stochastics
Freiburg and Basel, May 21 - 24, 2013

Tuesday, 21 May 2013
FRIAS, Albertstrasse 19, Freiburg
08:30–09:20 Registration
09:20–09:30 Welcome
Chair:  Ernst Eberlein
09:30–10:30 Freddy Delbaen
Zürich
Risk Measures: It Started with Bernoulli
10:30–11:00 Coffee Break  
11:00–12:00 Dilip Madan
Maryland
Two Price Lévy Driven Economies
12:00–14:00 Lunch Break  
Chair:  Michel Emery
14:00–15:00 Albert Shiryaev
Moscow
Kolmogorov, the Russian School of Probability and their Impact on the Science of Probability
15:00–15:30 Coffee Break  
15:30–16:30 Marc Yor
Paris
Brownian Motion: A Key Object in Stochastic Analysis
16:30–17:30 Marek Rutkowski
Sydney
Arbitrage Pricing under Multiple Interest Rates
17:30–19:30 Welcome Reception at FRIAS
 
Wednesday, 22 May 2013
FRIAS, Albertstrasse 19, Freiburg
08:30–09:30 Registration
Chair:  Peter Pfaffelhuber
09:30–10:30 David Siegmund
Stanford
Detecting Local Signals in Genomic Analysis
10:30–11:00 Coffee Break  
11:00–12:00 Alison Etheridge
Oxford
Modelling Evolution
12:00–14:00 Lunch Break  
Chair:  Hans Rudolf Lerche
14:00–15:00 Niels Keiding
Copenhagen
Standardization and Control for Confounding in Observational Studies: A Historical Perspective
15:00–15:30 Coffee Break  
15:30–16:30 Aad van der Vaart
Leiden
Modern Bayesian Analysis
16:30–17:30 Michael Sørensen
Copenhagen
Statistics for Stochastic Differential Equations – Past and Present
 
Thursday, 23 May 2013
Alte Aula, Naturhistorisches Museum, Augustinergasse 2, Basel
10:00–10:10 Welcome
Chair:  Hanspeter Kraft
10:10–10:50 Fritz Nagel
Basel
The Unknown Jacob Bernoulli: Non-mathematical Activities of a Mathematician
11:00–11:40 Martin Mattmüller
Basel
Jacob Bernoulli's Stochastics: An Unexpected Conception, a Long Gestation and a Hard Delivery
11:50–12:30 Ivo Schneider
München
Jakob Bernoulli's Ars Conjectandi as a Turning Point in the Development of a Calculus of Games of Chance to a Calculus of Probabilities
12:30–14:00 Lunch Break  
Chair:  Nicole Bäuerle
14:00–15:00 Chris Rogers
Cambridge
Eighty Years of Stochastic Analysis - What Remains?
15:00–16:00 Jean Jacod
Paris
Lévy, Itô, Doob, Meyer and Beyond: Birth and Development of Semimartingales
16:15 Visit of the Epitaph of Jacob Bernoulli in the cloister of the cathedral and of an exposition of historical documents in the library of the University
 
Friday, 24 May 2013
FRIAS, Albertstrasse 19, Freiburg
08:30–09:30 Registration
Chair:  Karl-Theodor Eisele
09:30–10:30 Shige Peng
Beijing
Bernoulli Trials and Brownian Motion under Knightian Uncertainty and Martingale Formulation of Nonlinear Path-PDE
10:30–11:00 Coffee Break  
11:00–12:00 Eckhard Platen
Sydney
Stochastic Differential Equations and their Numerical Treatment
12:00–14:00 Lunch Break  
Chair:  Ludger Rüschendorf
14:00–15:00 Nakahiro Yoshida
Tokyo
Statistics for Stochastic Differential Equations and Asymptotic Methods
15:00–15:30 Coffee Break  
15:30–16:30 Tom Kurtz
Madison
Diffusion Approximations for Markov Processes with Multiple Time Scales
16:30–17:30 M'hamed Eddahbi
Marrakech
State of the Art of Stochastic Analysis in Morocco
17:30–17:40 Closing
 
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